Friday, June 15, 2007

the africa i saw....

"Africa is neither all tragedy nor all renaissance. It is a diverse continent that's struggling to find its way in the global economy and has both of these extremes, but is much more in a middle place that looks like that field in Karatu: a wild, unregulated, informal, individual brand of capitalism, which we need to channel into formal companies that can grow and scale up, even with corrupt governance.

Africa needs many things, but most of all it needs capitalists who can start and run legal companies. More Bill Gateses, fewer foundations. People grow out of poverty when they create small businesses that employ their neighbors. Nothing else lasts."

-- Thomas Friedman, "Patient Capital for an Africa that Won't Wait", New York Times, April 20, 2007
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I remember a very interesting discussion with one of the supervisors in my study. We started talking about what she did in her free time to earn extra income, and she told us about how she smuggled men's suits and alcohol from Tanzania into Zambia and sold them at 600% or so profit. It involved a 24 hour commute one way -- taking a bus to the Tanzanian border, taking another bus to DarEs Salaam, buying the suits / alcohol, then using local connections to bypass the border control authorities (most of whom are underpaid and bribed very easily) and then take the bus back to Lusaka. It was a bit dangerous, but hey... making  a profit of $300 in one weekend trip is worth it in a country where average monthly income is about $100 (optimistically.)
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Another favorite memory: Walking through the Kamwala shops by myself or with my driver (acting as an informal bodyguard) looking at goods that were almost all manufactured by China. (Backpacks, shoes, electronics, clothes, more clothes, etc.) Zambian consumers love cheap Chinese goods overall, even if they are of very questionable quality. The Indian / Muslim / Zambian shopkeepers hate it.One Zambian shop worker came up to me and said "Look we are selling your things."
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Thursday, March 15, 2007

this describes a little bit of what zambia is like

Bob Herbert describes a phenomenon that all-too-well describes Zambia.. and many other parts of sub-Saharan Africa. The joblessness, hopelessness, low marriage rates, etc. The only difference is the violent crime prevalence -- it's a LOT safer to be living amongst poor, uneducated, unemployed black male Zambians than poor, uneducated, unemployed black male Americans.


The New York Times


March 15, 2007
Op-Ed Columnist

The Danger Zone

The national unemployment rate came in at 4.5 percent last week and was generally characterized as pretty good. But whatever universe those numbers came from, it was not the universe that black men live in.

Black American males inhabit a universe in which joblessness is frequently the norm, where the idea of getting up each morning and going off to work can seem stranger to a lot of men than the dream of hitting the lottery, where the dignity that comes from supporting oneself and one's family has too often been replaced by a numbing sense of hopelessness.

What I'm talking about is extreme joblessness — joblessness that is coursing through communities and being passed from one generation to another, like a deadly virus.

Forget, for a moment, the official unemployment numbers. They understate the problem of joblessness for all groups. Far more telling is the actual percentage of people in a given segment of the working-age population that is jobless.

Black men who graduate from a four-year college do reasonably well in terms of employment, compared with other ethnic groups. But most black men do not go to college. In big cities, more than half do not even finish high school.

Their employment histories are gruesome. Over the past few years, the percentage of black male high school graduates in their 20s who were jobless (including those who abandoned all efforts to find a job) has ranged from well over a third to roughly 50 percent. Those are the kinds of statistics you get during a depression.

For dropouts, the rates of joblessness are staggering. For black males who left high school without a diploma, the real jobless rate at various times over the past few years has ranged from 59 percent to a breathtaking 72 percent.

"Seventy-two percent jobless!" said Senator Charles Schumer, chairman of Congress's Joint Economic Committee, which held a hearing last week on joblessness among black men. "This compares to 29 percent of white and 19 percent of Hispanic dropouts."

Senator Schumer described the problem of black male unemployment as "profound, persistent and perplexing."

Jobless rates at such sky-high levels don't just destroy lives, they destroy entire communities. They breed all manner of antisocial behavior, including violent crime. One of the main reasons there are so few black marriages is that there are so many black men who are financially incapable of supporting a family.

"These numbers should generate a sense of national alarm," said Senator Schumer.

They haven't. However much this epidemic of joblessness may hurt, very little is being done about it. According to the Labor Department, only 97,000 new jobs were created in February. That's not even enough to accommodate new entrants to the work force.

And then there's the question of who's getting the new jobs. According to statistics compiled by the Center for Labor Market Studies at Northeastern University in Boston, the only groups that have experienced a growth in jobs since the last recession are older workers and immigrants.

People can howl all they want about how well the economy is doing. The simple truth is that millions of ordinary American workers are in an employment bind. Steady jobs with good benefits are going the way of Ozzie and Harriet. Young workers, especially, are hurting, which diminishes the prospects for the American family. And blacks, particularly black males, are in a deep danger zone.

Instead of addressing this issue constructively, government officials have responded by eviscerating programs that were designed to move young people from disadvantaged backgrounds into the labor market.

Robert Carmona, president of Strive, an organization that helps build job skills, told Senator Schumer's committee, "What we've seen over the last several years is a deliberate disinvestment in programs that do work."

What's needed are massive programs of job training and job creation, and a sustained national effort to bolster the education backgrounds of disadvantaged youngsters. So far there has been no political will to do any of that.

You get lip service. But when you walk into the neighborhoods and talk to the young people, you find that very little, if anything, is being done. Which is why the real-world employment environment has become so horrendous for so many.


Saturday, February 24, 2007

a shout out

A public shoutout and congratulations to my college friend peter lu who has been in the headlines with his Science-published paper about advanced quasicrystalline geometry in ancient Islamic art!

check out:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6389157.stm
http://www.news.harvard.edu/gazette/2007/03.01/99-tiles.html

Monday, February 12, 2007

To Do

A random list of weird and/or difficult tasks on my plate (some successful thankfully):

- Talking with Schering Finland to import 200 units of implant contraceptive into Zambia via NGO and Zambia bureaucracy
- Making numerous, frustrating trips to the "poison board" (i.e. Zambia's Pharmaceutical Regulatory Authority) to wrestle an approval for import from them
- Meeting with NGO directors to push through a legal contract between Harvard and the partner NGO because the study ran out of money and needed a new contract
- Purchasing hundreds of chitenges, 1,440 condoms, and prepaid talk time
- Negotiating salary arguments/discussions with the data collectors and community health workers working for the study
- Trying to minimize the community's fears that our data collecting teams are "Satanists"
- Buying pregnancy tests, gloves, bleach, and sterile solution for the surgical insertion of Jadelle implant contraceptive
- Constant monitoring of staff. There's no such thing as being too anal in the field. Some version of Murphy's law is at work here -- if you don't check on the work, it won't be done... or at least it won't be done well.
- Working 7 days a week to reach as many women as possible

Monday, February 05, 2007

China's growing sphere of influence in the Caribbean and African nations

This is hilarious-- forwarded by a friend of mine.
http://www.jamaica-gleaner.com/gleaner/20070205/lead/lead1.html

This article brings to mind the recent events here in Lusaka. Chinese president Hu Jintao visited Lusaka this past Saturday through Sunday to officially inaugurate special Zambia-China economic zones... and a new Chinese-financed football stadium. Zambia didn't make the same mistake with the anthem though, I don't think.

On the day the Chinese president arrived at lusaka international airport, I was sitting outside the NGO office waiting for my ride. a zambian man passing by in a truck stuck his head out of the window and yelled "hey, how come you're not welcoming your president?!" I gave the man a slightly dirty look. The supervisors also kept on teasing "hey Christina, why aren't you at the airport welcoming your president?"

Later that day there was heavy traffic to the health clinic as scores of Zambians waited outside the main conference facility awaiting Hu Jintao's arrival. It was a pretty funny sight -- a crowd of  Zambian women wearing MMD chitenges (MMD is the political party currently in power that is supportive of China) waiting and cheering for the chinese president.

Also, last Thursday, I was barely able to grab a table at the best Chinese restaurant in Lusaka because there was a huge party of Chinese people having dinner that night... in preparation for the Chinese president's arrival. Supposedly Hu Jintao was going to eat at that restaurant. (And stay at the Intercontinental...)

Anyways, overall, I regard China's generosity to Zambia with suspicion.... the stadium, a new economic zone, $800 million in investment, a state visit, a huge forgiveness of debt.......

To me, it sounds like imminent exploitation, China-style.

Tuesday, January 09, 2007

regarding Africa, the West needs to learn how to compete with China...

This editorial was published a little while ago (Oct. 24, 2006). I share her views. China's entrance into the world of development aid will dramatically change the industry forever. (And yes, development aid is an industry with its own vested, commercial interests. Don't let any sparkly NGO representative tell you otherwise....even the Christian/religious ones. )
Viewpoint: China becomes Africa's suitor
By Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala
Former Nigerian finance minister

The West is in a panic. There is a new suitor on the block vying for Africa's attention.

China, with nearly $1 trillion in reserves and a voracious appetite for natural resources, has decided to spend some of its billions of dollars in savings to secure access to the oil, gas, copper, coal and other mineral riches that lie beneath the soil of many African countries.

China's aggressive - sometimes brazen - approach is causing angst among Africa's traditional partners.

I have heard China called the new colonial master.

'New power'

There is general unease about the potential moral hazard of an Africa whose debt has been cancelled by the West taking the opportunity to accumulate new debt from China.

There is no doubt that China is a new power to be reckoned with in Africa.


China knows what it means to be poor and has evolved a successful wealth creation formula that it is willing to share with African countries.

There is also no doubt that this new economic giant is pragmatic - almost to a fault - when it comes to making deals in Africa. The nature of a country or its leadership carries little weight against China's need for natural resources.

Not for China the niceties of human rights, nor long debates on macroeconomic conditionalities, and structural reform.

China is ready to transform savings into investment projects in Africa in exchange for access to mining rights.

'Economic growth'

It is true that African countries need to be wary that old trappings of bondage are not exchanged for shiny new ones - whatever form they may assume.

Nevertheless, there is more to this China-Africa relationship than meets the eye.

African countries are clear that when it comes to economic growth and transformation, China has much to offer that is relevant to present-day Africa.

China knows what it means to be poor, and has evolved a successful wealth creation formula that it is willing to share with African countries.

Africa's need for infrastructure investments - estimated at $20bn a year for the next decade - is understood and supported by China.

'Fresh approach'

When I asked the Chinese how we could get a growth rate of 10%, like theirs, their answer was simple.

Infrastructure - infrastructure and discipline.

China is thus willing to invest in railways, roads, ports and rural telephony in various African countries as part of its winning formula for economic development.

This is an area considered too risky by many of Africa's traditional partners.

China provides an alternative viewpoint, a fresh approach that diversifies and enriches the spectrum of Africa's interlocutors.

For that reason, China should be left alone to forge its unique partnership with African countries and the West must simply learn to compete.

Saturday, December 23, 2006

another blog about zambia

Here's a link to the blog of an American expat friend in Zambia. I commiserate with her experiences of medical care and trying to apply for a temporary permit.

http://yourmominzambia.blogspot.com/